by Chris Mistal | May 3, 2019 | Almanac Update
May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and go away.” Our “Best Six Months Switching Strategy,” created in 1986, proves that there is merit to this old trader’s tale. A hypothetical $10,000 investment...
by Chris Mistal | May 1, 2019 | Seasonal Research
Big gains the first four months of 2019 have some Wall Street pundits and analysts concerned. While strong starts for the market for the first four months of the year don’t leave much for the rest of the year, it is by no means a negative implication or bearish...
by Chris Mistal | Apr 2, 2019 | Almanac Update
The first trading day of April and the second quarter, has enjoyed notable strength over the past 24 years, advancing 17 times with an average gain of 0.37% in all 24 years for S&P 500. However, four of the seven declines have occurred in the last six years. Other...
by Chris Mistal | Apr 2, 2019 | Monthly Outlook
April is the last month of DJIA’s and S&P 500’s “Best Six Months” of the year. As you can see in the accompanying chart of the “Pre-Election Year Seasonal Patterns” the major U.S. stock market indices have historically rallied quite sharply through April. Then...
by Chris Mistal | Apr 2, 2019 | Market At A Glance
Seasonal: Bullish. April is the best DJIA month since 1950, third best for S&P and fourth best for NASDAQ (since 1971). April is also the last month of the “Best Six Months.” Psychological: Uneasy. According to Investor’s Intelligence Advisors Sentiment survey...
